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Flying Publisher Kamps - Hoffmann SARS Reference - 10/2003 SARSReference.com 2 www.SARSreference.com c Flying Publisher. All rights reserved. All material in this book is protected by copyright. No part of this book may be reproduced and/or distributed in any form without the express, written permission of the author. Third Edition, October 2003 SARS Medicine is an ever-changing field. The editors and authors of SARSReference.com have made every effort to provide information that is accurate and complete as of the date of publication. However, in view of the rapid changes occurring in medical science, SARS prevention and policy, as well as the possibility of human error, this text may contain technical inaccuracies, typographical or other errors. Readers are advised to check the product information currently provided by the manufacturer of each drug to be administered to verify the recommended dose, the method and duration of administration, and contraindications. It is the responsibility of the treating physician who relies on experience and knowledge about the patient to determine dosages and the best treatment for the patient. The information contained herein is provided "as is" and without warranty of any kind. The contributors to this site, including AmedeoGroup and Flying Publisher, disclaim responsibility for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of information contained herein. 3 www.SARSreference.com La chronique est le temoignage pour tous les hommes qui, ne pouvant etre des saints et refusant d’admettre les fleaux, s’efforcent cependant d’etre des medecins. (Albert Camus, La Peste) 4 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Contents Chapter 1: Timeline 15 References 25 Chapter 2: Virology 30 Discovery of the SARS Virus 30 Initial Research 30 The Breakthrough 31 Coronaviridae 32 SARS Co-V 33 Genome Sequence 33 Morphology 34 Organization 34 Detection 35 Stability and Resistance 36 Natural Host 36 Antiviral Agents and Vaccines 37 Antiviral Drugs 37 Vaccines 37 Outlook 38 References 43 Chapter 3: Transmission 49 Routes of Transmission 49 Factors Influencing Transmission 50 Patient Factors in Transmission 51 The Unsuspected Patients 54 High-Risk Activities 54 Transmission during Quarantine 55 Transmission after Recovery 56 Animal Reservoirs 56 Conclusion 56 References 57 Chapter 4: Epidemiology 61 Introduction 61 Contents 5 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Modeling the Epidemic 63 Starting Point 63 Global Spread 64 Hong Kong 64 Vietnam 66 Toronto 67 Singapore, February 2003 69 China 72 Taiwan 72 Other Countries 73 Eradication 75 Outlook 75 References 76 Chapter 5: Prevention 81 Introduction 81 International Coordination 82 Advice to travelers 83 Management of SARS in the post-outbreak period 84 National Measures 84 Legislation 85 Infection Control in Healthcare Settings 89 General Measures 89 Protective Measures 90 Special Settings 93 Internet Sources 95 Infection Control in Households 98 Possible Transmission from Animals 101 After the Outbreak 102 Conclusion 102 References 103 Chapter 6: Case Definition 108 WHO Case Definition 108 Suspect case 108 Probable case 109 Exclusion criteria 109 Reclassification of cases 110 6 Contents www.SARSreference.com CDC Case Definition 110 Chapter 7: Diagnostic Tests 112 Introduction 112 Laboratory tests 113 Molecular tests 114 Virus isolation 115 Antibody detection 115 Limitations 116 Biosafety considerations 117 Outlook 118 Table, Figures 120 References 122 Chapter 8: Clinical Presentation and Diagnosis 124 Clinical Presentation 124 Hematological Manifestations 125 Atypical Presentation 127 Chest Radiographic Abnormalities 128 Chest Radiographs 129 CT Scans 130 Diagnosis 131 Clinical Course 132 Viral Load and Immunopathological Damage 135 Histopathology 136 Lung Biopsy 136 Postmortem Findings 136 Discharge and Follow-up 137 Psychosocial Issues 138 References 138 Appendix: Guidelines 141 Chapter 9: SARS Treatment 144 Antibiotic therapy 144 Antiviral therapy 145 Ribavirin 145 Neuraminidase inhibitor 146 Protease inhibitor 146 Human interferons 146 Contents 7 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Human immunoglobulins 147 Alternative medicine 148 Immunomodulatory therapy 148 Corticosteroids 149 Other immunomodulators 151 Assisted ventilation 151 Non-invasive ventilation 152 Invasive mechanical ventilation 153 Clinical outcomes 153 Outlook 155 Appendix 1 156 A standardized treatment protocol for adult SARS in Hong Kong 156 Appendix 2 158 A treatment regimen for SARS in Guangzhou, China 158 References 159 Chapter 10: Pediatric SARS 168 Clinical Manifestation 168 Radiologic Features 169 Treatment 170 Clinical Course 171 References 171 8 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Contributing Authors Christian Drosten, M.D. Virology/Molecular Diagnostics Bernhard Nocht Inst. of Tropical Medicine Bernhard Nocht Str. 74 20359 Hamburg Germany Arthur Chun-Wing Lau, MRCP, FHKCP, FHKAM Division of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine Department of Medicine Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital Hong Kong SAR, PR China Wolfgang Preiser, M.D. Institute for Medical Virology Johann Wolfgang Goethe University Paul Ehrlich-Str. 40 60596 Frankfurt am Main Germany Loletta Kit-Ying So, MRCP, FHKCP, FHKAM Division of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine Department of Medicine Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital Hong Kong SAR, PR China Loretta Yin-Chun Yam, FRCP, FCCP, FHKCP, FHKAM Division of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine Department of Medicine Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital Hong Kong SAR, PR China 9 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Preface First recognized in mid-March 2003, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) was successfully contained in less than four months. On 5 July 2003, WHO reported that the last human chain of transmission of SARS had been broken. Much has been learned about SARS, including its causation by a new coronavirus (SARS-CoV); however, our knowledge about the ecology of SARS coronavirus infection remains limited. In the post-outbreak period, all countries must remain vigilant for the recurrence of SARS and maintain their capacity to detect and respond to the re-emergence of SARS should it occur. Resurgence of SARS remains a distinct possibility and we need to be prepared. For the third edition, most chapters have remained unchanged, with two exceptions: the Virology section has been updated and the chapter entitled SARS Treatment has been completely rewritten by Loletta So, Arthur Lau, and Loretta Yam from the Division of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, PR China. In the event of a new SARS outbreak, we shall have to rely on existing treatment modalities. These have now been brilliantly overviewed by our new colleagues. Bernd Sebastian Kamps and Christian Hoffmann www.HIVMedicine.com October 17, 2003 10 Preface www.SARSreference.com Preface to the Second Edition Just over five months ago, SARS started to spread around the world. It is the first major new infectious disease of this century, unusual in its high morbidity and mortality rates, and it is taking full advantage of the opportunities provided by a world of international travel. At the time of this writing, more than 8,000 persons with probable SARS have been diagnosed; 812 patients have died. Fortunately, one by one, the outbreaks in the initial waves of infection have been brought under control. SARS demonstrates dramatically the global havoc that can be wreaked by a newly emerging infectious disease. SARS was capable of bringing the healthcare system of entire areas to a standstill, striking nurses, doctors and other medical personnel: human resources vital for disease control. Surgery and vital treatments for patients with serious conditions had to be postponed; care in emergency rooms was disrupted. A significant proportion of patients required intensive care, thus adding to the considerable strain on hospital and healthcare systems. Hospitals, schools, and borders were closed. The economic impact on individuals was profound, affecting tourism, education and employment. The disease has several features that make it a special threat to international public health. There is no vaccine or treatment, and health authorities have to resort to control tools dating back to the earliest days of empirical microbiology: isolation, infection control and contact tracing. The response of the scientific community to the new health threat was immediate and breath-taking. The etiologic relationship between a previously unknown coronavirus and SARS was established one month after the WHO issued a global alert and called upon 11 leading laboratories in 9 countries to join a network for multicenter research into the etiology of SARS and to simultaneously develop a diagnostic test. The early recognition of the etiologic agent has made the virus available for investigation of antiviral compounds and vaccines. Experience with SARS has shown that, with strong global leadership by the WHO, scientific expertise from around the world can work in a very effective, collaborative manner to identify novel pathogens. 11 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) SARS has demonstrated how the world can come together in scientific collaboration, and what the power of the Internet is. This outstanding effort limited the potentially explosive spread of the outbreak. Some hope exists that the disease might be contained, but much about SARS remains unknown. How important are animals in its transmission? Will SARS return with a stronger force next year? What are the host or virus factors responsible for the "superspreader" phenomenon, in which a single patient may infect many people through brief casual contact or possibly environmental contamination? At this moment, a global epidemic of the magnitude of the 1918-19 influenza pandemic appears unlikely. However, development of effective drugs and vaccines for SARS is likely to take a long time. If SARS is not contained, the world will face a situation in which every case of atypical pneumonia, and every hospital-based cluster of febrile patients with respiratory systems will have the potential to rouse suspicions of SARS and spark widespread panic. The world will therefore anxiously watch if new outbreaks occur. Bernd Sebastian Kamps and Christian Hoffmann July 10, 2003 12 Preface www.SARSreference.com Preface to the First Edition Just over three months ago, SARS started to spread around the world. It is the first major new infectious disease of this century and it is taking full advantage of the opportunities provided by a world of international travel. As of this writing (May 8), more than 7,000 persons have been infected in 29 countries. In China, the disease seems to be difficult to control. If not contained, SARS will change the way we live our lives. The response of the scientific community to the new health threat has been breath-taking. The etiologic relationship between a previously unknown coronavirus and SARS was established just one month after the WHO issued a global alert and called upon 11 leading laboratories in 9 countries to join a network for multicenter research on the etiology of SARS and to simultaneously develop a diagnostic test. The early recognition of the etiologic agent has made the virus available for investigation of antiviral compounds and vaccines. The WHO, the CDC, and national health agencies have disseminated up-to-the-minute information for clinicians, public health officials, and healthcare workers. The network of laboratories, created by the WHO, takes advantage of modern communication technologies (email; secure website) so that the outcomes of investigations on clinical samples from SARS cases can be shared in real time. On the secure WHO website, network members share electron microscope pictures of viruses, sequences of genetic material for virus identification and characterization, virus isolates, and various samples from patients and postmortem tissues. Samples from one patient can be analysed in parallel by several laboratories and the results shared in real time. But, as Julie Gerberding from the CDC stated: "Speed of scientificdiscovery and speed of communication are hallmarks of the response to SARS and reflect amazing achievements in science, technology, and international collaboration. However, despite these advances, a very sobering question remains —are we fast enough? Can we prevent a global pandemic of SARS?" 13 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) We don't know. It is the nature of epidemics to be unpredictable. What we do know is that unprecedented efforts will be needed to shape a world without SARS. SARSReference.com will accompany these efforts with monthly updates for the duration of the epidemic. Bernd Sebastian Kamps and Christian Hoffmann May 8, 2003 14 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Summary Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) is an acute respiratory illness caused by infection with the SARS virus. Fever followed by a rapidly progressive respiratory compromise is the key complex of signs and symptoms, which also include chills, muscular aches, headache and loss of appetite. Mortality, initially believed to be around 3 %, may well be as high as 15 %. The WHO estimates that the case fatality ratio of SARS ranges from 0% to 50% depending on the age group affected: less than 1% in persons aged 24 years or younger; 6% in persons aged 25 to 44 years; 15% in persons aged 45 to 64 years; and greater than 50% in persons aged 65 years and older ( WHO Update 49,http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_05_07a/en/). The etiologic agent of SARS is a coronavirus which was identified in March 2003. The initial clusters of cases in hotel and apartment buildings in Hong Kong have shown that transmission of the SARS virus can be extremely efficient. Attack rates in excess of 50% have been reported. The virus is predominantly spread by droplets or by direct and indirect contact. Shedding in feces and urine also occurs. Medical personnel, physicians, nurses, and hospital workers are among those commonly infected. In the absence of effective drugs or a vaccine for SARS, control of this disease relies on the rapid identification of cases and their appropriate management, including the isolation of suspect and probable cases and the management of their close contacts. In the great majority of countries, these measures have prevented imported cases from spreading the disease to others. At present, the most efficacious treatment regimen for SARS is still subject to debate. For patients with progressive deterioration, intensive and supportive care is of primary importance. Immunomodulation by steroid treatment may be important. 15 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Chapter 1: Timeline November 16, 2002 The initial cases of SARS appear in the Guangdong Province, South China. February 14, 2003 A small notice in the Weekly Epidemiological Record reports 305 cases and 5 deaths from an unknown acute respiratory syndrome which occurred between 16 November and 9 February 2003 in the Guangdong Province, China. (WHO WER 7/2003) The illness isspread to household members and healthcare workers. The Chinese Ministry of Health informs the WHO that the outbreak in Guangdong is clinically consistent with atypical pneumonia. Further investigations rule out anthrax, pulmonary plague, leptospirosis, and hemorrhagic fever. Two weeks later, at the end of February, the Chinese Ministry of Health reports that the infective agent causing the outbreak of the atypical pneumonia was probably Chlamydia pneumoniae. (WHO WER 9/2003 )February 21 A 65-year-old medical doctor from Guangdong checks into the 9th floor of the Metropole hotel in Hong Kong. He had treated patients with atypical pneumonia prior to departure and is symptomatic upon arrival in Hong Kong. He infects at least 12 other guests and visitors to the 9th floor of the hotel ( WHO. SARS: Status of the Outbreak).February 28 Dr Carlo Urbani, a WHO official based in Vietnam, is alarmed by these cases of atypical pneumonia in the French Hospital, where he has been asked to assist. He is concerned it might be avian influenza, and notifies the WHO Regional Office for the Western Pacific. March 7 New reports of outbreaks of a severe form of pneumonia come in from Vietnam. The outbreak traces back to a middle-aged man who was 16 Timeline www.SARSreference.com admitted to hospital in Hanoi with a high fever, dry cough, myalgia and mild sore throat. Following his admission, approximately 20 hospital staff become sick with similar symptoms. In some cases, this is followed by bilateral pneumonia and progression to acute respiratory distress. March 10 Eighteen healthcare workers on a medical ward in the Prince of Wales Hospital in Hong Kong report that they are ill. Within hours, more than 50 of the hospital's healthcare workers are identified as having had a febrile illness over the previous few days. On March 11, 23 of them are admitted to the hospital for observation as a precautionary measure. Eight develop early X-ray signs of pneumonia ( Lee et al.)The outbreaks, both in Hanoi and Hong Kong, appear to be confined to the hospital environment. Hospital staff seem to be at highest risk. The new syndrome is now designated "severe acute respiratory syndrome", or SARS. March 12 The WHO issues a global alert about cases of severe atypical pneumonia following mounting reports of cases among staff in the Hanoi and Hong Kong hospitals. March 14 The Ministry of Health in Singapore reports 3 cases of atypical pneumonia, including a former flight attendant who had stayed at the Hong Kong hotel. Contact tracing will subsequently link her illness to more than 100 SARS cases in Singapore ( MMWR 52: 405-11).March 15 The WHO issues a heightened global health alert about the mysterious pneumonia after cases are also identified in Singapore and Canada. The alert includes a rare emergency travel advisory to international travelers, healthcare professionals and health authorities, advising all individuals traveling to affected areas to be watchful for the development of symptoms for a period of 10 days after returning ( http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_03_15/en/).Timeline 17 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) March 17 The WHO calls upon 11 leading laboratories in 9 countries to join a network for multicenter research into the etiology of SARS and to simultaneously develop a diagnostic test. The network takes advantage of modern communication technologies (e-mail; secure website) so that the outcomes of investigations on clinical samples from SARS cases can be shared in real time ( http://www.who.int/csr/sars/project/en/). On the secure WHO website,network members share electron microscope pictures of viruses, sequences of genetic material for virus identification and characterization, virus isolates, various samples from patients, and postmortem tissues. Samples from one patient can be analyzed in parallel by several laboratories and the results shared in real time. The goal: detection of the causative agent for SARS and the development of a diagnostic test. March 19 One week after the global alert, the WHO publishes an update on the situation, saying that the failure of all previous efforts to detect the presence of bacteria and viruses known to cause respiratory disease strongly suggests that the causative agent might be a novel pathogen. March 21 The Center for Disease Control (CDC) publish a preliminary clinical description of SARS ( http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5212a5.htm).March 24 Scientists at the CDC and in Hong Kong announce that a new coronavirus has been isolated from patients with SARS. ( http://www.cdc.gov/od/oc/media/pressrel/r030324.htm)Within days, sequences of the coronavirus polymerase gene are compared with those of previously characterized strains and scientists are able to demonstrate that this virus is distinct from all known human pathogens. In addition, serum from patients with SARS is evaluated to detect antibodies to the new coronavirus, and seroconversion is documented in several patients with acute- and convalescent-phase specimens. 18 Timeline www.SARSreference.com March 26 The first global "grand round" on the clinical features and treatment of SARS is held by the WHO. The electronic meeting unites 80 clinicians from 13 countries; a summary of their discussions and conclusions is being made available on the SARS page of the WHO website, http://www.who.int/csr/sars/cliniciansconference/en/ .March 28 The CDC reports on the investigation into a cluster of 12 persons with suspected/probable SARS in Hong Kong which could be traced back to the medical doctor from southern China who arrived on 21 February 2003 and stayed in the Metropole hotel ( http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5212a1.htm).March 30 In Hong Kong, a steep rise in the number of SARS cases is detected in Amoy Garden, a large housing estate consisting of ten 35-storey blocks, which are home to around 15,000 persons. The Hong Kong Department of Health issues an isolation order to prevent the further spread of SARS. The isolation order requires residents of Block E of Amoy Gardens to remain in their flats until midnight on 9 April ( WHO Update 15). Residents of the building are subsequently movedto rural isolation camps for 10 days. March 31 The New England Journal of Medicine publishes two articles about clusters of SARS patients in Hong Kong and in Toronto on its website ( Tsang, Poutanen).April 2 The WHO recommends that persons traveling to Hong Kong and the Guangdong Province of China consider postponing all but essential travel ( http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_04_02/en/).April 2 The WHO's Weekly Epidemiological Record publishes a new case definition, recommends measures to prevent the international spread of SARS, and proposes the implementation of a global surveillance Timeline 19 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) system (see http://www.who.int/wer/pdf/2003/wer7814.pdf, whichincludes a template of case reporting form). The WHO recommends that airport and port health authorities in affected areas undertake screening of passengers presenting for international travel. In addition, the WHO issues guidance on the management of possible cases on international flights, disinfection of aircraft carrying suspect cases and surveillance of persons who have been in contact with suspect cases while undertaking international travel. Although this guidance is primarily directed at air travel, the same procedures are recommended for international travel by road, rail or sea from affected areas. April 8-10 Three research groups publish results which suggest that a novel coronavirus might be the etiologic agent of SARS ( Peiris, Drosten,Ksiazek ).Using serological tests and a reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) specific for the new virus, one group of researchers found that 45 out of 50 patients with SARS, but none of the controls, had evidence of infection with the virus ( Peiris). Electronmicroscopicexamination of cultures reveals ultrastructural features characteristic of coronaviruses. With specific diagnostic RT-PCR primers, several identical nucleotide sequences are identified in 12 patients from several locations; a finding which is consistent with a point source outbreak ( Ksiazek). High concentrations of viral RNA ofup to 100 million molecules per milliliter are found in sputum ( Drosten).April 12 Canadian researchers announce the first successful sequencing of the coronavirus genome believed to be responsible for the global epidemic of SARS. Scientists from the CDC confirm these reports. The new sequence has 29,727 nucleotides which fits well with the typical RNA boundaries of known coronaviruses. The results come just 12 days after a team of 10 scientists, supported by numerous technicians, began working around the clock to grow cells from a throat culture, taken from one of the SARS patients, in Vero cells (African green monkey kidney cells) in order to reproduce the ribonucleic acid 20 Timeline www.SARSreference.com (RNA) of the disease-causing coronavirus (see press release http://www.cdc.gov/od/oc/media/pressrel/r030414.htm ).April 16 The WHO announces that a new pathogen, a member of the coronavirus family never before seen in humans, is the cause of SARS. To prove the causal relationship between the virus and SARS, scientists had to meet Koch's postulates which stipulate that a pathogen must meet four conditions: it must be found in all cases of the disease, it must be isolated from the host and grown in pure culture, it must reproduce the original disease when introduced into a susceptible host, and it must be found in the experimental host that was so infected ( http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_04_16/en/).To confirm whether the new virus was indeed the cause of the illness, scientists at Erasmus University in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, infected monkeys with the pathogen. They found out that the virus caused similar symptoms – cough, fever, breathing difficulty – in the monkeys to that seen in humans with SARS, therefore providing strong scientific evidence that the pathogen is indeed the causative agent. The unprecedented speed with which the causative agent of SARS was identified – just over a month since the WHO first became aware of the new illness – was made possible by an unprecedented collaboration of 13 laboratories in 10 countries. April 20 The Chinese government discloses that the number of SARS cases is many times higher than previously reported. Beijing now has 339 confirmed cases of SARS and an additional 402 suspected cases. Ten days earlier, Health Minister Zhang Wenkang had admitted to only 22 confirmed SARS cases in Beijing. The city closes down schools and imposes strict quarantine measures. Most worrying is the evidence that the virus is spreading in the Chinese interior, where medical resources might be inadequate. Timeline 21 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) April 20 After the identification of a cluster of illness among employees of a crowded wholesale market in Singapore, the market is closed for 15 days and the vendors placed in home quarantine. April 23 The WHO extends its SARS-related travel advice to Beijing and the Shanxi Province in China and to Toronto, Canada, recommending that persons planning to travel to these destinations consider postponing all but essential travel. http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_04_23/en/ April 25 Outbreaks in Hanoi, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Toronto show signs of peaking. April 27 Nearly 3,000 SARS cases have been identified in China. China closes theaters, Internet cafes, discos and other recreational activities and suspends the approval of marriages in an effort to prevent gatherings where SARS can be spread. 7,000 construction workers work around-the-clock to finish a new 1,000-bed hospital for SARS patients in Beijing. April 29 The first report on SARS in children, published by the Lancet ( Hon),suggests that young children develop a milder form of the disease with a less-aggressive clinical course than that seen in teenagers and adults. May 1 The complete SARS virus genome sequence is published by two groups in Science ( Marra, Rota).May 2 The Xiaotangshan Hospital opens its doors for 156 SARS patients from 15 hospitals in urban areas in Beijing. The Xiaotangshan Hospital was built by 7,000 builders in just eight days. 22 Timeline www.SARSreference.com Taiwan, which has a rapidly evolving outbreak, reports a cumulative total of 100 probable cases, with 11 new cases in 24 hours. Eight SARS deaths have occurred in Taiwan. May 4 Scientists in the WHO network of collaborating laboratories report that the SARS virus can survive after drying on plastic surfaces for up to 48 hours; that it can survive in feces for at least 2 days, and in urine for at least 24 hours; and that the virus could survive for 4 days in feces taken from patients suffering from diarrhea ( WHO Update 47).May 7 The WHO revises its initial estimates of the case fatality ratio of SARS. It now estimates that the case fatality ratio of SARS ranges from 0% to 50% depending on the age group affected, with an overall estimate of case fatality of 14% to 15%. Based on new data, the case fatality ratio is estimated to be less than 1% in persons aged 24 years or younger, 6% in persons aged 25 to 44 years, 15% in persons aged 45 to 64 years, and greater than 50% in persons aged 65 years and older ( Donnelly, WHO Update 49).May 8 The WHO extends its SARS-related travel advice to the following areas of China: Tianjin, Inner Mongolia, and Taipei in Taiwan province ("postpone all but essential travel"; WHO Update 50).May 9 Publication of the first prospective study on SARS (Peiris et al., http://image.thelancet.com/extras/03art4432web.pdf ).May 20 In Taiwan, more than 150 doctors and nurses quit various hospitals in one week, because of their fear of contracting SARS. Nine major hospitals have been fully or partly shut down. May 22 Health authorities in Canada inform the WHO of a cluster of five cases of respiratory illness associated with a single hospital in Toronto. This is the second outbreak of SARS in Toronto. Timeline 23 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) May 23 The World Health Organization removes its recommendation that people should postpone all but essential travel to Hong Kong Special Administrative Region and the Guangdong province, China ( http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_05_23/en/).May 23 Research teams in Hong Kong and Shenzhen announce that they have detected several coronaviruses closely related to the SARS coronavirus in animal species taken from a market in southern China. Masked palm civets, racoon-dogs, and Chinese ferret badgers are wild animals that are traditionally considered delicacies and are sold for human consumption in markets throughout southern China ( http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_05_23b/en/).May 23 Two studies assess the epidemic potential of SARS, and the effectiveness of control measures. Their main message is that the SARS virus is sufficiently transmissible to be able to cause a very large epidemic if unchecked, but not so contagious as to be uncontrollable with good, basic public health measures ( Lipsitch, Riley).May 31 Singapore is removed from the list of areas with recent local transmission of SARS because 20 days (i.e., twice the maximum incubation period) have elapsed since the most recent case of locally acquired SARS was isolated or a SARS patient has died, suggesting that the chain of transmission had terminated. May 31 Toronto is back on the WHO list of areas with local transmission after Canada reported new clusters of 26 suspected and eight probable cases of the disease linked to four Toronto hospitals. June 6 82 cases are now being reported in the second outbreak of SARS in Ontario, Canada. 24 Timeline www.SARSreference.com June 13 The World Health Organization removes its recommendation that people should postpone all but essential travel to Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Shanxi and Tianjin regions in China. In addition, the WHO removes Guangdong, Hebei, Hubei, Inner Mongolia, Jilin, Jiangsu, Shaanxi, Shanxi and Tianjin from the list of areas with recent local transmission. June 17 The WHO removes Taiwan from its list of areas to which travelers are advised to avoid all but essential travel. The move follows vast improvements in case detection, infection control, and the tracing and follow-up of contacts that led to a steep drop in the daily number of new cases. June 21 A study by Rainer et al. suggests that the current WHO guidelines fordiagnosing suspected SARS may not be sufficiently sensitive in assessing patients before admission to hospital. Daily follow-up, evaluation of non-respiratory, systemic symptoms, and chest radiography would be better screening tools (see Chapter 5: Prevention). June 23 The WHO removes Hong Kong from its list of areas with recent local transmission of SARS ( http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_06_23/en/).June 24 The WHO removes Beijing from its list of areas with recent local transmission and removes its travel recommendation ( http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_06_24/en/).July 2 The WHO removes Toronto from its list of areas with recent local transmission ( http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_07_02/en/).July 5 The WHO removes Taiwan from its list of areas with recent local transmission ( http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_07_05/en/).Timeline 25 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) The WHO reports that the last human chain of transmission of SARS has been broken. August 14 WHO: Publication of " Alert, verification and public health management of SARS in the post-outbreak period". http://www.who.int/csr/sars/postoutbreak/en/ September 8 Singapore: A 27-year-old researcher is diagnosed with SARS. September 24 The Singapore Ministry of Health releases the report of an investigation of the recent SARS case. The investigation concludes that the patient most likely acquired the infection in a laboratory as the result of accidental contamination. The patient was conducting research on the West Nile virus in a laboratory that was also conducting research using active SARS coronavirus ( http://www.moh.gov.sg/sars/pdf/Report_SARS_Biosafety.pdf). Thefull report of the review panel is available at http://www.moh.gov.sg/sars/pdf/Report_SARS_Biosafety.pdf .References 1. CDC. Update: Outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - Worldwide, 2003. MMWR 2003;52:241-248. http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5212a1.htm 2. CDC. Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - Singapore, 2003. MMWR 2003; 52: 405-11. http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5218a1.htm 3. Chan-Yeung M, Yu WC. Outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: case report. BMJ 2003; 326: 850-2. http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7394/850 4. Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Leung GM, et al. Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong. Lancet 2003; 361:1761-6. Pub 26 Timeline www.SARSreference.com lished online May 7, 2003. http://image.thelancet.com/extras/03art4453web.pdf 5. Drazen JM. Case Clusters of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. N Engl J Med 2003; 348:e6-7. Published online Mar 31, 2003. http://content.nejm.org/cgi/reprint/NEJMe030062v2.pdf6. Drosten C, Gunther S, Preiser W, et al. Identification of a Novel Coronavirus in Patients with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. N Engl J Med 2003, 348:1967-76. Published online Apr 10, 2003. http://SARSReference.com/lit.php?id=126900917. Dye C, Gay N. Modeling the SARS epidemic. Science 2003; 300:1884-5. Published online May 23, 2003. 8. Gerberding JL. Faster. but Fast Enough? Responding to the Epidemic of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. N Engl J Med 2003, 348:2030-1. Published online Apr 02, 2003. http://content.nejm.org/cgi/reprint/NEJMe030067v1.pdf 9. Hon KL, Leung CW, Cheng WT, et al. Clinical presentations and outcome of severe acute respiratory syndrome in children. Lancet 2003, 361:1701-3. Published online April 29, 2003. http://image.thelancet.com/extras/03let4127web.pdf 10. Ksiazek TG, Erdman D, Goldsmith CS, et al. A Novel Coronavirus Associated with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. New Eng J Med 2003, 348:1953-66. Published online Apr 10, 2003. http://SARSReference.com/lit.php?id=12690092 11. Lee N, Hui D, Wu A, et al. A Major Outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in Hong Kong. N Engl J Med 2003;348:1986-94. Published online Apr 07, 2003. http://SARSReference.com/lit.php?id=12682352 12. Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Cooper B, et al. Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. Science 2003; 300:1966-70. Published online May 23, 2003. http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/300/5627/1966 13. Marra MA, Jones SJM, Astell CR, et al. The Genome Sequence of the SARS-Associated Coronavirus. Science 2003; 300:1399- 404. Published online May 1, 2003. http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/1085953v1 Timeline 27 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) 14. Peiris J, Lai S, Poon L, Guan Y, et al. Coronavirus as a possible cause of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Lancet 2003; 361: 1319-1325. http://SARSReference.com/lit.php?id=1271146515. Peiris J, Chu CM, Cheng C, et al. Clinical progression and viral load in a community outbreak of coronavirus-associated SARS pneumonia: a prospective study. Lancet 2003, 361:1767-72. Published online May 9, 2003. http://image.thelancet.com/extras/03art4432web.pdf 16. Poutanen SM, Low DE, Henry B, Finkelstein S, et al. Identification of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in Canada. N Engl J Med 2003, 348:1995-2005. http://SARSReference.com/lit.php?id=12671061 17. Rainer TH, Cameron PA, Smith D, et al. Evaluation of WHO criteria for identifying patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome out of hospital: prospective observational study. BMJ 2003; 326: 1354–8. http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7403/1354 18. Riley S, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, et al. Transmission Dynamics of the Etiological Agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of Public Health Interventions. Science 2003; 300:1961-6. Published online May 23, 2003. 19. Rota PA, Oberste MS, Monroe SS, et al. Characterization of a Novel Coronavirus Associated with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. Science 2003; 300:1394-9. Published online May 1, 2003. http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/1085952v1 20. Tsang KW, Ho PL, Ooi GC, Yee WK, et al. A Cluster of Cases of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in Hong Kong. N Engl J Med 2003, 348:1977-85. http://content.nejm.org/cgi/reprint/NEJMoa030666v3.pdf 21. WHO. Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS): Status of the outbreak and lessons for the immediate future. Geneva, 20 May 2003. http://www.who.int/csr/media/sars_wha.pdf22. WHO, WER 7/2003. Acute respiratory syndrome, China. Weekly Epidemiological Record 2003; 78: 41. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_03_12/en/ 28 Timeline www.SARSreference.com 23. WHO, WER 9/2003. Acute respiratory syndrome, China – Update. Weekly Epidemiological Record 2003; 78: 57. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_03_12/en/ 24. WHO, WER 11/2003. Acute respiratory syndrome – China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China, and Viet Nam. Weekly Epidemiological Record 2003; 78: 73-74. http://www.who.int/wer/pdf/2003/wer7811.pdf 25. WHO, WER 15/2003. WHO Multicentre Collaborative Networks for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) diagnosis. Weekly Epidemiological Record 2003; 78: 121-122. http://www.who.int/wer/pdf/2003/wer7815.pdf 26. WHO Update 15: Situation in Hong Kong, activities of WHO team in China. March 31. http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_03_31/en/ 27. WHO Update 42: Travel advice for Toronto, situation in China. April 29. http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_04_29/en/28. WHO Update 47: Studies of SARS virus survival, situation in China. May 5. http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_05_05/en/ 29. WHO Update 49: SARS case fatality ratio, incubation period. May 7. http://www.who.int/csr/sarsarchive/2003_05_07a/en/30. WHO Update 50: WHO extends its SARS-related travel advice to Tianjin, Inner Mongolia and Taipei in China. May 8. http://www.who.int/entity/csr/sars/archive/2003_05_08/en 31. WHO Update 84. Can SARS be eradicated or eliminated? http://www.who.int/entity/csr/don/2003_06_19/en 32. WHO Update 87. World Health Organization changes last remaining travel recommendation for Beijing, China. http://www.who.int/entity/csr/don/2003_06_24/en 33. WHO Update 92. Chronology of travel recommendations, areas with local transmission. http://www.who.int/entity/csr/don/2003_07_01/en 34. WHO Update 93. Toronto removed from list of areas with recent local transmission. http://www.who.int/entity/csr/don/2003_07_02/en Timeline 29 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) 35. WHO Update 95. Update 95 - SARS: Chronology of a serial killer. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_07_04/en/36. WHO Update 96. Taiwan, China: SARS transmission interrupted in last outbreak area. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_07_05/en/ 30 Virology www.SARSreference.com Chapter 2: Virology Wolfgang Preiser, Christian Drosten The severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is due to an infection with a novel coronavirus which was first identified by researchers in Hong Kong, the United States, and Germany ( Ksiazek, Drosten, Peiris2003a , Poutanen). The virus was provisionally termed SARSassociatedcoronavirus (SARS-CoV). Discovery of the SARS Virus Initial Research The epidemic of severe atypical pneumonia which was observed in the Chinese province of Guangdong and reported internationally on February11 , 2003 (WHO, WER 11/2003), was initially suspected to belinked to a newly emerging influenza virus: on February 19, 2003, researchers isolated an avian influenza A (H5N1) virus from a child in Hong Kong. This virus was similar to the influenza virus originating from birds that caused an outbreak in humans in Hong Kong in 1997, and new outbreaks of similar strains were expected. However, bird 'flu', possibly of poultry origin, was soon ruled out as the cause of the newly-termed Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, or SARS. Investigations then focused on members of the Paramyxoviridae family,after paramyxovirus-like particles were found by electron microscopy of respiratory samples from patients in Hong Kong and Frankfurt am Main. Further investigations showed that human metapneumovirus (hMPV; van den Hoogen) was present in a substantial number of, butnot in all, SARS patients reported at the time. At about the same time, China reported the detection, by electron microscopy, of Chlamydia-like organisms in patients who had died from atypical pneumonia during the Guangdong outbreak. Again, this finding could not be confirmed by other laboratories in SARS patients from outside China. Discovery of the SARS Virus 31 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) On March 17, 2003, the WHO called upon eleven laboratories in nine countries to join a network for multicenter research into the etiology of SARS and to simultaneously develop a diagnostic test ( http://www.who.int/csr/sars/project/en/). The member institutionscommunicated through regular telephone conferences (initially held on a daily basis) and via a secure website and exchanged data, samples and reagents to facilitate and speed up research into the etiology of SARS ( World Health Organization Multicentre Collaborative Networkfor Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) Diagnosis +WHO. WHO Multicentre Collaborative Networks for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) diagnosis. http://www.who.int/wer/pdf/2003/wer7815.pdf ).The Breakthrough The etiologic agent of SARS was identified in late March 2003, when laboratories in Hong Kong, the United States, and Germany found evidence of a novel coronavirus in patients with SARS. This evidence included isolation on cell culture, demonstration by electron microscopy, demonstration of specific genomic sequences by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and by microarray technology, as well as indirect immunofluorescent antibody tests ( Peiris, Drosten, Ksiazek).Three weeks later, on April 16, 2003, following a meeting of the collaborating laboratories in Geneva, the WHO announced that this new coronavirus, never before seen in humans or animals, was the cause of SARS ( Kuiken). This announcement came after research done by thethen 13 participating laboratories from ten countries had demonstrated that the novel coronavirus met all four of Koch’s postulates necessary to prove the causation of disease: 1. The pathogen must be found in all cases of the disease ;2. It must be isolated from the host and grown in pure culture ;3. It must reproduce the original disease when introduced into a susceptible host ;4. It must be found in the experimental host so infected. Proof of the last two requirements was provided after inoculation of cynomolgus macaques ( Macaca fascicularis) with Vero-cell cultured32 Virology www.SARSreference.com virus that had previously been isolated from a SARS case. The infection caused interstitial pneumonia resembling SARS, and the virus was isolated from the nose and throat of the monkeys, as shown by polymerase chain reaction with reverse transcription (RT-PCR) and by virus isolation. The isolated virus was identical to that inoculated ( Fouchier). A detailed account of the history of discovery of this novelagent can be found in Drosten 2003b. Coronaviridae The coronaviruses (order Nidovirales, family Coronaviridae, genusCoronavirus) are members of a family of large, enveloped, positivesense single-stranded RNA viruses that replicate in the cytoplasm of animal host cells (Siddell). The genomes of coronaviruses range in length from 27 to 32 kb, the largest of any of the RNA viruses. The virions measure between about 100 and 140 nanometers in diameter. Most but not all viral particles show the characteristic appearance of surface projections, giving rise to the virus' name (corona, Latin = crown). These spikes extend a further 20 nanometers from the surface. The Coronaviridae family has been divided up into three groups, originally on the basis of serological cross-reactivity, but more recently on the basis of genomic sequence homology (see online database ICTVdB ). Groups 1 (canine, feline infectious peritonitis, porcinetransmissible gastroenteritis and porcine respiratory viruses, human coronavirus 229E) and 2 (bovine, murine hepatitis, rat sialodacryoadenitis viruses, human coronavirus OC43) contain mammalian viruses, while group 3 contains only avian viruses (avian infectious bronchitis, turkey coronavirus). In animals, coronaviruses can lead to highly virulent respiratory, enteric, and neurological diseases, as well as hepatitis, causing epizootics of respiratory diseases and/or gastroenteritis with short incubation periods (2–7 days), such as those found in SARS ( Holmes). Coronavirusesare generally highly species-specific. In immunocompetent hosts, infection elicits neutralizing antibodies and cell-mediated immune responses that kill infected cells. SARS Co-V 33 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Several coronaviruses can cause fatal systemic diseases in animals, including feline infectious peritonitis virus (FIPV), hemagglutinating encephalomyelitis virus (HEV) of swine, and some strains of avian infectious bronchitis virus (IBV) and mouse hepatitis virus (MHV). These coronaviruses can replicate in liver, lung, kidney, gut, spleen, brain, spinal cord, retina, and other tissues ( Holmes). Coronavirusescause economically important diseases in domestic animals. Human coronaviruses (HCoVs) were previously only associated with mild diseases. They are found in both group 1 (HCoV-229E) and group 2 (HCoV-OC43) and are a major cause of normally mild respiratory illnesses ( Makela). They can occasionally cause serious infectionsof the lower respiratory tract in children and adults and necrotizing enterocolitis in newborns (McIntosh, El-Sahly, Folz, Sizun).The known human coronaviruses are able to survive on environmental surfaces for up to 3 hours ( Sizun). Coronaviruses may be transmittedfrom person-to-person by droplets, hand contamination, fomites, and small particle aerosols ( Ijaz).SARS-related CoV seems to be the first coronavirus that regularly causes severe disease in humans. SARS Co-V Genome Sequence In April 2003, a Canadian group of researchers from the Michael Smith Genome Sciences Centre in Vancouver, British Columbia, and the National Microbiology Laboratory in Winnipeg, Manitoba, were the first to complete the genome sequencing of the new coronavirus ( Marra), followed two days later by colleagues from the CDC (Rota).The genome sequence data of SARS Co-V reveal that the novel agent does not belong to any of the known groups of coronaviruses, including two human coronaviruses, HCoV-OC43 and HCoV-229E ( Drosten, Peiris, Marra, Rota), to which it is only moderately related.The SARS-CoV genome appears to be equidistant from those of all known coronaviruses. Its closest relatives are the murine, bovine, porcine, and human coronaviruses in group 2 and avian coronavirus IBV in group 1. For links to the most recent sequence data and publi 34 Virology www.SARSreference.com cations, see the NCBI web page http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/genomes/SARS/SARS.html .It has been proposed that the new virus defines a fourth lineage of coronavirus (Group 4, Marra). The sequence analysis of SARS-CoVseems to be consistent with the hypothesis that it is an animal virus for which the normal host is still unknown and that has recently either developed the ability to productively infect humans or has been able to cross the species barrier ( Ludwig). The genome shows that SARSCoVis neither a mutant of a known coronavirus, nor a recombinant between known coronaviruses. As the virus passes through human beings, SARS-CoV is apparently maintaining its consensus genotype and seems thus well-adapted to the human host ( Ruan). However, genetic analysis is able to distinguishbetween different strains of SARS-CoV, which is of great value for epidemiological studies and may also have clinical implications (Tsui). Morphology Negative-stain transmission electron microscopy of patient samples and of cell culture supernatants reveals pleomorphic, enveloped coronavirus- like particles with diameters of between 60 and 130 nm. ( Ksiazek, Peiris).Examination of infected cells by thin-section electron microscopy shows coronavirus-like particles within cytoplasmic membrane-bound vacuoles and the cisternae of the rough endoplasmic reticulum. Extracellular particles accumulate in large clusters, and are frequently seen lining the surface of the plasma membrane ( MMWR 2003; 52: 241-248 ).Organization The SARS-CoV genome contains five major open reading frames (ORFs) that encode the replicase polyprotein; the spike (S), envelope (E), and membrane (M) glycoproteins; and the nucleocapsid protein (N). SARS Co-V 35 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) The main function of the S protein is to bind to species-specific host cell receptors and to trigger a fusion event between the viral envelope and a cellular membrane. Much of the species specificity of the initial infection depends upon specific receptor interactions. In addition, the spike protein has been shown to be a virulence factor in many different coronaviruses. Finally, the S protein is the principal viral antigen that elicits neutralizing antibody on behalf of the host. The M protein is the major component of the virion envelope. It is the major determinant of virion morphogenesis, selecting S protein for incorporation into virions during viral assembly. There is evidence that suggests that the M protein also selects the genome for incorporation into the virion. One remarkable feature about coronavirus RNA synthesis is the very high rate of RNA-RNA recombination. Detection SARS Co-V has been detected in multiple specimens including extracts of lung and kidney tissue by virus isolation or PCR; bronchoalveolar lavage specimens by virus isolation, electron microscopy and PCR; and sputum or upper respiratory tract swab, aspirate, or wash specimens by PCR ( Ksiazek, Drosten).High concentrations of viral RNA of up to 100 million molecules per milliliter were found in sputum ( Drosten). SARS-associated coronavirusRNA was detected in nasopharyngeal aspirates by RT-PCR in 32% at initial presentation (mean 3.2 days after onset of illness) and in 68% at day 14 ( Peiris 2003b). In stool samples, viral RNA was detectedin 97% of patients two weeks after the onset of illness. 42% of urine samples were positive for viral RNA ( Peiris 2003b).Viral RNA was also detected at extremely low concentrations in plasma during the acute phase and in feces during the late convalescent phase, suggesting that the virus may be shed in feces for prolonged periods of time ( Drosten).36 Virology www.SARSreference.com Stability and Resistance Work is on-going to evaluate the stability of SARS-CoV and its resistance against various environmental factors and disinfectants. Preliminary results, obtained by members of the WHO multicenter collaborative network on SARS diagnosis (see: http://www.who.int/csr/sars/survival_2003_05_04/en/index.html ),show that the virus is stable in feces and urine at room temperature for at least 1-2 days. The stability seems to be higher in stools from patients with diarrhea (the pH of which is higher than that of normal stool). In supernatants of infected cell cultures, there is only a minimal reduction in the concentration of the virus after 21 days at 4°C and – 80°C. After 48 hours at room temperature, the concentration of the virus is reduced by one log only, indicating that the virus is more stable than the other known human coronaviruses under these conditions. However, heating to 56°C inactivates SARS-CoV relatively quickly. Furthermore, the agent loses its infectivity after exposure to different commonly-used disinfectants and fixatives. Natural Host Research teams in Hong Kong and Shenzhen detected several coronaviruses that were closely related genetically to the SARS coronavirus in animals taken from a southern Chinese market that was selling wild animals for human consumption. They found the virus in masked palm civets ( Paguma larvata) as well as some other species. All six ofthe civets included in the study were found to harbor SARS coronavirus, which was isolated in cell culture or detected by a PCR molecular technique. Serum from these animals also inhibited the growth of SARS coronavirus isolated from humans. Vice versa, human serum from SARS patients inhibited the growth of SARS isolates from these animals. Sequencing of viruses isolated from these animals demonstrated that, with the exception of a small additional sequence, the viruses are identical to the human SARS virus (Cyranoski; Enserink 2003a). The study provides a first indication that the SARS virus exists outside a human host. However, at present, no evidence exists to suggest Antiviral Agents and Vaccines 37 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) that these wild animal species play a significant role in the epidemiology of SARS outbreaks. The civets sold on Chinese markets are born in the wild and then captured and raised on farms. They could therefore have acquired the virus from a wild animal or from other animals during captivity or even from humans. More research is needed before any firm conclusions can be reached ( WHO Update 64, 23 May).Antiviral Agents and Vaccines Antiviral Drugs Efforts are underway at various institutions to assess potential anti- SARS-CoV agents in vitro. According to the data available so far,Ribavirin, a "broad spectrum" agent, which is active against various RNA viruses ( Tam) and which has been used extensively in SARSpatients ( Koren), seems to lack in vitro efficacy. Convalescent plasmaand normal human immunoglobulin, not containing specific anti- SARS-CoV antibodies, have also been used in SARS patients ( Wong).In addition, interferons may be promising candidate drugs ( Cinatl2003b). In the light of the widespread utilization of traditional Chinese medicine in SARS patients in the Far East it is interesting that glycyrrhizin, a compound found in liquorice roots, was recently reported to have a good in vitro activity against SARS-CoV (Cinatl 2003a).Further research includes detailed physico-chemical analysis of SARS-CoV proteins to allow the development of novel compounds based on targeted drug design ( Anand; Thiel).Vaccines There are currently no commercial veterinary vaccines to prevent respiratory coronavirus infections, except for infectious bronchitis virus infections in chickens. Although an effective vaccine cannot be expected to be available soon, the relative ease with which SARSCoV can be propagated in vitro and the availability of vaccinesagainst animal coronaviruses, such as avian infectious bronchitis virus, transmissible gastroenteritis coronavirus of pigs, and feline infec 38 Virology www.SARSreference.com tious peritonitis virus, are encouraging. The S protein is generally thought to be a good target for vaccines because it will elicit neutralizing antibodies. The apparent genetic stability of SARS-CoV is certainly encouraging with regard to the development of a vaccine (Brown). It should be noted, however, that in experimental infections with human coronavirus 229E, infection did not provide long-lasting immunity. Likewise, several animal coronaviruses can cause re-infections, so lasting immunity may be difficult to achieve. However, re-infections seem to be generally mild or sub-clinical. Before immunization strategies are devised, the immune pathogenesis of feline infectious peritonitis warrants careful investigation into whether immune enhancement also plays a role in SARS. Outlook The discovery of the SARS-associated coronavirus was the result of an unprecedented global collaborative exercise coordinated by the WHO ( World Health Organization Multicentre Collaborative Networkfor Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) Diagnosis ). Therapid success of this approach results from a collaborative effort – rather than a competitive approach – by high-level laboratory investigators making use of all available techniques, from cell culture through electron microscopy ( Hazelton and Gelderblom) to moleculartechniques, in order to identify a novel agent. It demonstrates how an extraordinarily well orchestrated effort may be able to address the threat of emerging infectious diseases in the 21st century ( Hawkey).The SARS experience also sadly underlines that non-collaborative approaches may seriously impede scientific progress and sometimes have grave consequences (Enserink 2003b). It may be surprising that despite the remarkable world-wide cooperative research efforts that allowed such significant progress in such a short time, the apparent success in ending the SARS outbreak (no new cases have been notified since 15 June 2003, suggesting that SARSCoV no longer circulates within the human population) is undoubtedly due to "old-fashioned" infection control measures. Outlook 39 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) It is completely unclear at present (early September 2003) whether SARS will reappear. Clinically "silent" infections and long-term carriage can not be ruled out completely and may result in further outbreaks, perhaps in a season-dependent manner. Interestingly, the annual peak incidence of influenza virus infections is from March to July in southern China ( Huang), which is similar to the epidemiccurve of the 2003 SARS outbreak. It is also likely that SARS-CoV or a closely related coronavirus persist in an unidentified animal reservoir from where it may again spill over into the human population. Therefore, it is vital that vigilance for new SARS cases be maintained (see "Alert, verification and public health management of SARS in the post-outbreak period, http://www.who.int/csr/sars/postoutbreak/en/).Sustained control of SARS will require the development of reliable diagnostic tests to diagnose patients in the early stages of illness and to monitor its spread, as well as of vaccines and antiviral compounds to prevent or treat the disease ( Breiman). Vaccines are successful inpreventing coronavirus infections in animals, and the development of an effective vaccine against this new coronavirus is a realistic possibility. As is the case for the development of any vaccine, time is needed. Suitable animal models must demonstrate efficacy, and time is necessary in order to be able to demonstrate the safety of the new vaccine in humans. While involvement by commercial enterprises is clearly wanted and necessary, it is to be hoped that patent issues will not stand in the way of scientific progress (Gold). With the availability of different and improved laboratory methods, a number of important questions regarding the natural history of the SARS-associated coronavirus are now being addressed: • What is the origin of SARS-CoV? What is the animal reservoir, ifany? If SARS-CoV was present in an unknown animal species, did it jump to humans because of a unique combination of random mutations? Or can SARS-CoV now infect both its original host and humans? • Which factors determine the period of time between infection andthe onset of infectiousness? • When, during the course of infection, is virus shedding highest?What is the concentration of the virus in various body compart 40 Virology www.SARSreference.com ments? In what way does the "viral load" relate to the severity of the illness or the likelihood of transmission? • Do healthy virus carriers exist? If so, do they excrete the virus inamounts and concentrations sufficient to cause infection? • Does virus shedding occur following clinical recovery? If so, forhow long? Is this epidemiologically relevant? • Why are children less likely to develop SARS ? Do they have alower clinical manifestation index, or do they possess a (relative) (cross-?) immunity against SARS-CoV? • What is the role of potential co-factors such as Chlamydia spp.and hMPV? Are they related to a clinically more severe illness or to a higher degree of infectiousness ("super-spreaders")? • Are there environmental sources of SARS-CoV infection, such asfoodstuff, water, sewage? • How stable is SARS-CoV under different conditions? How canefficient disinfection be achieved? How long can the virus "survive" in the environment on both dry surfaces and in suspension, including in fecal matter? • How important is genetic diversity among SARS-CoV strains?Outlook 41 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) Figure 1. Electron micrograph of coronavirus-like particles in cell culture, supernatant after ultracentrifugation and negative staining with uranyl acetate. (Source: Department of Virology, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine; Director: H. Schmitz; full-size picture: http://SARSReference.com/archive/coronavirus_em.jpg )Figure 2. Cytopathic effect in Vero cell culture caused by SARS-associated coronavirus 24 hours post inoculation; for comparison: uninfected cell culture. (Source: Institute for Medical Virology, Director: H. W. Doerr; full-size picture: http://SARSReference.com/archive/cytopathiceffect.jpg ,http://SARSReference.com/archive/uninfectedcells.jpg )42 Virology www.SARSreference.com Figure 3. Phylogenetic tree of the SARS-associated coronavirus (Source: S. Gunther, Department of Virology, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine; Director: H. Schmitz; full-size picture: http://SARSReference.com/archive/phylogenetictree.jpg )References 43 Kamps and Hoffmann (eds.) References 1. Anand K, Ziebuhr J, Wadhwani P, Mesters JR, Hilgenfeld R. Coronavirus main proteinase (3CLpro) structure: basis for design of anti-SARS drugs. Science 2003; 300:1763-7. Published online May 13, 2003. http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/300/5626/1763 2. Arbour N, Day R, Newcombe J, Talbot PJ. 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